Friday, September 27, 2019

Positional storylines: Checking in after 4 weeks

Original Post: September 27, 2019
by Eric Marturano

Ahead of this Eagles season, I wrote a column to start tracking the storylines at each position. It’s fun to think about the team in this sort of big-picture narrative way, even as they sit at 2-2 after 4 games: vs. Redskins (W), @Falcons (L), vs. Lions (L), and @Packers (W).

These first four weeks have been filled with both ups and downs – the downs especially in the injury department. A promising team that boasted the best pass rush and receiving corp according to Pro Football Focus heading into the season has failed to get pressure or consistently catch the ball. At just a quarter of the way through the year, the Eagles have plenty of time to turn things around – but will they?
Let’s take a look at the storylines after the first four weeks of the season.

QB: Carson Wentz is healthy and improving, but needs “help”

Heading into the season, the storyline for the now-solidified QB position was essentially “Can Carson Wentz stay healthy and return to MVP caliber?” The answer so far has been “Yes and sort of.” He’s played well – not quite returning to that incredible mid-2017 MVP caliber, but he’s making enough plays to keep the Eagles in every game. As staunch Wentz supporters will correctly point out, a couple crucial catches from Nelson Agholor or Dallas Goedert, and the Eagles may very well be sitting at 4-0. The narrative early for many fans is that Wentz needs all the “help” he can get.

Wentz’s best game from the first four was the home opener vs. the Redskins, where he completed 71.8% of his passes for 3 TDs and a QB rating of 121.0, but I was most impressed by his recent win on the road against the Packers, where he led the offense up and down the field for 3 TDs and a QB rating of 113.2. Heading into that contest, Wentz was floating around league-average stat lines after losses to the Falcons and the Lions. Winning against an undefeated Green Bay on the road really encouraged me for the trajectory of his season moving forward. The defense stepped up, catches were made – the team played well, and Wentz was its captain that evening. I would like to see more of that. Good QBs need “help.” Great QBs find a way to win and inspire their teammates. Wentz is good and has shown flashes of greatness. I hope he continues to improve and hit that “great” level of play on a more consistent basis.

RB: The group is talented, but do we know how to use them?

Through the first three games, the Eagles’ backfield showed promise, but no real plan. Then, the Thursday Night game vs. the Packers happened. Jordan Howard and Miles Sanders split 26 carries for a combined 159 yards, offering a great blend of power (Howard) and speed (Sanders) used in effective situations (Howard on the goal-line, etc.). After being one of the leading ball-carriers in the home opener against the Redskins, Darren Sproles has rightfully taken a backseat to the younger rushers and has become more of a situational passing-down back. Look for the backfield plan to continue to gel as the season goes on, but my prediction is a fairly even split for Howard and Sanders as the season progresses. 

WR/TE: Dropping health and dropping passes

Perhaps the biggest storyline for the Eagles this season has been the woes of the receiving corp – decimated by injuries and poor play. Injuries to Alshon Jeffery (returned for the Packers, although appeared to still be limited) and DeSean Jackson has put Nelson “Unlike” Agholor and Mack “OPI” Hollins in the spotlight. Agholor and Hollins are good receivers, but poor performances at inopportune times during the Falcons and Lions games sticks in the minds of fans – even when they’re saving children from a burning building! Look for “drops” to continue to be a storyline as the season progresses and this group gets healthy.

OL: A little banged up, but playing very well

Other than some minor injuries to Peters and Andre Dillard, the line has been the bedrock for any success the Eagles’ offense has had this season. Solid pass protection and brutal run-blocking has paved the way for Wentz, Howard, and Sanders to do their jobs in the air and on the ground. As the season goes on, look to monitor the health of this group as the aging Jason Peters tries to make it through a full season. I’m optimistic though – this is the best offensive line in football.

DL/LB: Where’s the pass rush?

One of the most feared pass-rushing teams in the league heading into the season is 2nd to last (31st) in sacks. You read that correctly – and it’s really one of the more shocking storylines of this Eagles’ season. Something needs to change schematically up front, especially with the woes in the secondary. Pressure simply isn’t getting there. When it has, even a little bit, good things have happened (such as Derek Barnett’s strip-sack vs. the Packers). Malik Jackson being out for the year certainly doesn’t help, but Jim Schwartz has his work cut out for him as he works to find a way to leverage the only strength the Eagles’ defense seems to have.

LB/DB: Sieve or Sticks

The most glaring problem with this Eagles team has been its sieve of a secondary. QBs – even Case Keenum! – have been picking apart this team at will. The only good consistency has been the “sticks” defense, where in passing situations the team lines up across the first down marker. It seems to work almost every time…begging the question as to why not just use it more? The rest has been a mess, and it almost pains me to type it out – pick whoever you want to blame, the result is still sadness. Something needs to change in the secondary and fast if this team has title aspirations.

Special Teams: Sproles and Sanders hold down the return game

The injury to DeSean Jackson has solidified Darren Sproles as the punt returner, where he’s been quite good and remains one of the better return men in the league in terms of avg. return yards. Miles Sanders has not only shown promise in the backfield, but in the kick return game, notably returning a kickoff past mid-field to spark the Eagles in their Thurs. night tilt vs. the Packers. Sproles is a known quantity, but Sanders is only a rookie – it will be fun to watch this facet of his game develop throughout the year.

“Don’t be afraid to fail. Failure is a part of life. It’s a part of building character and growing.”

I used Nick Foles’ famous quote about failure to end this column headed into the season, and I think it’s even more appropriate now. This Eagles team was one of the favorites and had high expectations. They currently sit at 2-2, banged up and inconsistent.
If they’re to rebound to meet those expectations, Carson Wentz & the gang can’t be afraid to fail under high pressure and high expectations. They’ll need to play fearlessly – as they did (at least on offense) against the Packers – to get this season back on track. The defense needs to lock in as well – look to Jim Schwartz to begin tinkering with strategy and personnel to get something going.

The next four weeks are vs. Jets, @Vikings, @Cowboys, and @Bills. Go Birds.

Monday, September 16, 2019

NBA Win Totals: 2019-2020 predictions for every team


Original Post: September 16, 2019
by Eric Marturano

The NBA season is only a month away, and that means it’s time to place some futures bets!
Last year, I was overjoyed to have sports betting just a state border away. This year, with online sports books available in the state of Pennsylvania, I can gamble on the NBA from the comfort of my own home – what a world we live in!
As a reminder, this game of trying to predict win totals started a few years back between my pal Mike Pizza and myself. Sometimes, I’m dead on (Pacers, Bulls, and Jazz won big for me last year), and other times I’m way off (Raptors, Hawks, and Magic killed me). Bet with (or against) me at your own risk! Oh, and be sure to listen to Mike, me, and Bryan at Two Paisani and a Pizza Podcast, as my co-hosts will inevitably roast me for some of these bad decisions throughout the year.
Two additional notes before we get started:
  1. This year I placed my bets at two different online sports books in Pennsylvania (Sugar House and Fan Duel), since sometimes there was a better return on the side I was interested in taking for a particular matchup. In the world of online gambling, I’d advise anyone considering future bets to shop around – you can usually find a price that best suits your belief.
  2. For simplicity, bets are explained in units of $10. The bigger the bet, the bigger my belief is that it will hit. Amateur tip: If you’re considering sports betting, decide what your “units” are before laying any money down. Pro tip: If you’re considering sports betting, be prepared to never see any of that money again.
Without further ado, let’s get to my picks for the upcoming NBA season and hopefully make some money!

Eastern Conference

15. Cleveland Cavaliers – 23 wins (UNDER 23.5, +100, Sugar House)
– $10 to win $10.00

Tweet-length rationale: I like the slight under on this bad team with young talent. They may improve upon last year’s abysmal 19-win season, but they’ll still rack up the losses.

14. New York Knicks – 23 wins (UNDER 27.5, +100, Sugar House)
– $50 to win $50.00

Tweet-length rationale: This sorry franchise is perennially terrible but are always in some danger to win more than they should, because “Knicks.” I had originally planned off of a line of 26.5 but found an extra win of breathing room 27.5 line at even money. That’s too good to pass up – slam the under here.

13. Charlotte Hornets – 24 wins (OVER 23.5, +110, Fan Duel)
– $10 to win $11.00

Tweet-length rationale: I love Terry Rozier and Malik Monk. This team stinks and is primed to spend another year in the tank, but I’ll take a slight over because I think Terry Rozier will try his best to win games (particularly any against the Celtics).

12. Washington Wizards – 25 wins (UNDER 27.5, -120, Fan Duel)
– $30 to win $25.00

Tweet-length rationale: Although the Wizards won 32 games last year, they have no direction and no future thanks to John Wall’s terrible injury and contract situation. On top of that, the team’s best player, Bradley Beal, is everyone’s favorite trade rumor. Grab the under before it gets too pricey.

11. Chicago Bulls – 28 wins (UNDER 31.5, +100, Fan Duel)
– $40 to win $40.00

Tweet-length rationale: While this team has some decent young talent and should have a healthy Lauri Markkanen back in the fold, they have a lot to prove. I think they’re more likely to tank and develop, or just flat out fail, than make a push for the bottom of the Eastern Conference playoff picture.

10. Atlanta Hawks – 35 wins (OVER 33.5, -110, Sugar House)
– $20 to win $18.20

Tweet-length rationale: Finally, a team I like! The Hawks are well-coached and loaded with young talent. They killed me last year when I took the under, and I’m not going down that road again, especially with a reasonable line. They’ll be trying to make the playoffs, so the over feels right here.

9. Detroit Pistons – 36 wins (UNDER 37.5, +110, Sugar House)
– $20 to win $22.00

Tweet-length rationale: The return of Iso Joe aside, this team stinks, has no direction, and isn’t getting any younger. I’ll take the slight under on this well-placed line.

8. Orlando Magic – 43 wins (OVER 40.5, +110, Sugar House)
– $30 to win $33.00

Tweet-length rationale: It feels weird to call the Orlando Magic a playoff team, but here we are. They won 42 games last season and should come in right around there again.

7. Miami Heat – 44 wins (OVER 42.5, -110, Sugar House)
– $20 to win $18.20

Tweet-length rationale: A well-coached perennial low-end playoff team just added Jimmy Butler. They should win more than the 39 they suffered through last year. I’m optimistic on how things gel for Miami this season.

6. Toronto Raptors – 44 wins (UNDER 46.5, +100, Sugar House)
– $30 to win $30.00

Tweet-length rationale: I haven’t checked, but this has to be one of the lowest lines ever for a team fresh off a title. However, losing the best player in the league in Kawhi Leonard, as well as Danny Green, leaves a lot to be desired here. The under feels right.

5. Boston Celtics – 45 wins (UNDER 49.5, -110, Fan Duel)
– $40 to win $36.36

Tweet-length rationale: I could go either way on Hornets North – swapping Kemba Walker in for Kyrie Irving could be a big plus on offense. And yet, swapping Enes Kanter for Al Horford is a bigger problem on defense. Danny Ainge stinks – let’s take the under and move on.

4. Brooklyn Nets – 46 wins (OVER 44.5, -110, Sugar House)
– $20 to win $18.20

Tweet-length rationale: I’m cautiously optimistic for Celtics South, even without Kevin Durant. Kyrie Irving will have a fresh start and Caris LeVert won’t be hampered by injury. I’ll take the over in a depleted East.

3. Indiana Pacers – 53 wins (OVER 47.5, +100, Sugar House)
– $50 to win $50.00

Tweet-length rationale: The Pacers are one of three teams that could actually come out of the Eastern Conference and have way too low of a line. This happened last year too…maybe people just find betting on Indiana boring? With Victor Oladipo back in action, this is a 50-win team, at minimum. Slam the over.

2. Philadelphia 76ers – 56 wins (OVER 53.5, -120, Fan Duel)
– $30 to win $25.00

Tweet-length rationale: The Sixers should be one of the best defensive teams in the league this year by swapping in Josh Richardson and Al Horford for Jimmy Butler on a team that also employs Ben Simmons, Tobias Harris, and the one and only Joel Embiid. Take the over, and I’ll see you on Broad Street in June.

1. Milwaukee Bucks – 59 wins (OVER 57.5, +100, Fan Duel)
– $20 to win $20.00

Tweet-length rationale: The Bucks won 60 games last year behind an MVP run from Giannis Antetokounmpo and should get close again, despite losing Malcolm Brogdon. That’s what Coach Mike Budenholzer does. The playoffs? Well, that’s another story…

Western Conference

15. Memphis Grizzlies – 24 wins (UNDER 26.5, -109, Sugar House)
– $30 to win $27.60

Tweet-length rationale: This young team will be entertaining, but also very bad. In a tough Western Conference, I’d expect them to get into tank mode early as they search for a new identity without Mike Conley.

14. Phoenix Suns – 26 wins (UNDER 27.5, +120, Fan Duel)
– $20 to win $24.00

Tweet-length rationale: Etch “Suns under” on Robert Sarver’s grave. This team is bad, and every player on it would be better off requesting a trade than enduring another meaningless season.

13. Oklahoma City Thunder – 29 wins (UNDER 33.5, -110, Sugar House)
– $50 to win $45.50

Tweet-length rationale: Hop into the tank with Captain Chris Paul!!! At least, before he’s inevitably traded mid-season. This line is comically high, so load up while you can.

12. Sacramento Kings – 35 wins (UNDER 38.5, -110, Sugar House)
– $40 to win $36.40

Tweet-length rationale: This line feels like an overreaction to a surprise season. The West is super-juiced now, and I don’t see how this Kings team gets back to 39 wins, no matter how much De’Aaron Fox continues to improve.

11. Minnesota Timberwolves – 36 wins (UNDER 35.5, -105, Fan Duel)
– $10 to win $9.52

Tweet-length rationale: I’ll take the slightest of overs on a well-placed line for another directionless team in the West. Here’s to you, Mr. Covington!

10. New Orleans Pelicans – 37 wins (UNDER 39.5, -125, Fan Duel)
– $30 to win $24.00

Tweet-length rationale: Fun does not equal good. Even if Zion Williamson can stay healthy and flourish, this “league pass team” will amount to a few entertaining highlights, not 40 wins.

9. Dallas Mavericks – 38 wins (UNDER 40.5, -115, Fan Duel)
– $30 to win $26.09

Tweet-length rationale: I have no idea what I’m getting here with Kristaps Porzingis, so I’m treading lightly. Even if things work out with him and Luka Doncic, it feels like this team is a year away from true playoff contention.

8. San Antonio Spurs – 44 wins (UNDER 46.5, -110, Sugar House)
– $30 to win $27.30

Tweet-length rationale: Even with Dejounte Murrary returning, this line feels a bit too high. The ever-aging Spurs will be fighting for their playoff lives in a loaded West.

7. Los Angeles Lakers – 49 wins (UNDER 51.5, -110, Sugar House)
– $30 to win $27.30

Tweet-length rationale: It feels a bit crazy to take the under on a team that employs LeBron James and Anthony Davis, but the Lakers simply aren’t built for regular season success. We’ll see what the playoffs bring, but the under is a pretty safe play here.

6. Golden State Warriors – 52 wins (OVER 47.5, -120, Fan Duel)
– $50 to win $41.67

Tweet-length rationale: I find Steph Curry just as annoying as the next guy, but this line is insulting. Slam the over on the new-age Spurs.

5. Houston Rockets – 53 wins (UNDER 53.5, -115, Fan Duel)
– $10 to win $8.70

Tweet-length rationale: This is a great line for a team that could very well self-combust, or be one of the best in the NBA. I’m going to take the slightest of unders here, as I’m less of a believer in Russell Westbrook at this stage of his career.

4. Portland Trail Blazers – 55 wins (OVER 46.5, -110, Fan Duel)
– $50 to win $45.45

Tweet-length rationale: This is my favorite bet of the year, and if I only had to make one, this would be it. The Portland Trail Blazers are consistently regular season darlings and won 53 games last year. With Jusef Nurkic returning from injury, a line of 46.5 is just wrong. Slam the over.

3. Los Angeles Clippers – 55 wins (OVER 54.5, -105, Fan Duel)
– $10 to win $9.52

Tweet-length rationale: Although they’re sure to be the talk of the league with the additions of Kawhi Leonard and Paul George, I’d expect there to be some growing pains for the new-look Clippers. I still believe in the over for a team that should care about playoff seeding, just very cautiously.

2. Denver Nuggets – 56 wins (OVER 52.5, +100, Fan Duel)
– $40 to win $40.00

Tweet-length rationale: I’m a well-known Nikola Jokic hater, but this line is too good to pass up. This regular season darling is primed to have a great fall, great winter, and a disappointing spring.

1. Utah Jazz – 57 wins (OVER 54.5, +110, Fan Duel)
– $30 to win $33.00

Tweet-length rationale: The Jazz are deep and good at defense. They should win a lot of games and, while lacking true star power, could even be an outside title contender if a few things break their way. Parlay this with Donovan Mitchell as Sixth Man of the Year and you’ll really be on to something.
So that’s it! Those are my picks. Now all that’s left is for the 2019-2020 season to get underway. Let’s go Sixers, baby!

Sunday, August 25, 2019

Andrew Luck & The Growing Trend of Early Retirement in the NFL: A Personal Perspective

Original Post: August 25, 2019
by Eric Marturano

On Saturday August 24, 2019, 29 year old Andrew Luck of the Indianapolis Colts retired from professional football. In Luck’s words, “it was the hardest decision of his life” to join the ranks of Calvin Johnson, Barry Sanders, Patrick Willis, and the growing list of other players who cut their career short at the top of their game. As a promising and successful quarterback, though, Luck stands out. Why would he walk away? Why now?
The media was shocked. Some fans booed, some understood. Luck seemed crushed during his surreal retirement press conference. This was the same guy who once congratulated those who sacked him and rallied teammates to comeback victories.
He loved the game, that much is obvious – and it’s hard to give up something you love.


An easy game to love, a hard game to give up

I loved football more than anything growing up. Playing, watching, following – all of it. It’s the most strategically fun team sport around. Deciding to stop wasn’t easy.


My parents & I on homecoming night during my senior year
I stopped playing when I was 18 years old, mainly because I wasn’t good enough to play at a big time university & didn’t see it as “worth it” to try to play at a smaller program. Doing so would come at the expense of education & other uses of my time – anyone who played high school ball knows that football is a full-time job.
I was lucky enough to attend a college where I could call color & play-by-play for the football team on the radio. It was nice to be close to the game I loved, even if it wasn’t worth trying to play anymore. I suspect Andrew Luck will find a way to be around football post-retirement.

The long term costs of playing a game you love



When I was younger, this is was the only thing I wanted
I never had a major injury due to football, likely because I only played for 10 years of my life (ages 9-18) and very fortunately had good coaches who taught me how to protect myself when blocking and tackling.
I also never played long enough or consistently enough against the caliber of athletes that could make it at the pro level – the kind of athletes that battered Andrew Luck season-after-season over his professional career, after he endured the beatings of the high school and college ranks.
When people in my life ask me if their kids should play football, I say “absolutely, it’s the most fun they’ll ever have playing team sports…just hope they don’t go pro.”
I don’t believe the human body is meant to take the kind of beating, over the amount of time, that would allow one to have a sustained pro career.
 Research has been growing in the past 10 years to support this belief.

What does the future of football look like?

The human body can only take so much punishment and that punishment gets exponentially more intense at each level of the game. It’s no surprise youth leagues are shrinking around the nation. It’s also no surprise that pro players are retiring early.
More and more players are coming to the conclusion that 20+ years of brutality is no life to live.
As a fan of the game today, it’s a conflicting realization to simultaneously:

1) Want to see the “best of the best” compete professionally

2) Know that the “best of the best” are slowly killing themselves, over time, banging their heads snap after snap over the course of 15-20 yrs (through middle school, high school, college, and pro), accumulating the head injuries that result in chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE)…on top of any body-mangling that occurs during a player’s career.
Football is an extremely hard game to walk away from. It’s fun, it builds character, it teaches hard work, and it rewards working together. It’s also killing our very best athletes mentally and physically.
What’s the solution? Eliminating the pro game and only having college teams? Forcing players to retire by age 30? No contact leagues until high school? Who knows.


I really miss playing this game. I’m also glad I stopped.
What I do know is that we’re watching a great, yet brutal, game decay. Perhaps for the best? There’s many sports to play & young athletes now choosing them instead (notably, basketball).
When the pipeline dries up, when the best we have quit for a healthier life – what’s left?
We’ll find out soon enough.

Saturday, August 17, 2019

Lots of Sun, Even More Fun: Sixers Summer Shore Tour a Big Success

Original Post: August 17, 2019
by Eric Marturano

In August, the average NBA fan’s calendar tends to drag. The excitement of the Finals, Draft, and Free Agency exist as distant memories of June and July, while the NBA preseason awaits in the ever-more distant October.
Well, unless you’re a Sixers fan.
On August 17, 2019, the Sixers put on their annual Summer Shore Tour at Pig Dog Beach Bar BQ at Morey’s Pier in Wildwood, New Jersey from 12-3pm.
Usually here at The Painted Lines, I’m giving my perspective from the stands, as a fan, but today at this free-to-the-public, family-friendly event, I got to peek into the reporting side of TPL with our stalwart Sixers and Blue Coats beatwriter, Jason Blevins. It was a hot and sunny day, but the Sixers, the players, and our local media (shout out Serena Winters) couldn’t have been cooler. Here’s how the day went:

Early On

Jason and I arrived a little early, around 11:30am, which is one of the best outcomes when you’re fighting against Saturday shore traffic. We were able to use that time to do a quick video about all kinds of topics, Sixers & otherwise:


The Beach Bash Begins!

The event was in full swing at 12pm, almost immediately, as many fans had been lining up early to secure a voucher for an autograph from either Zhaire Smith or Josh Richardson, both in attendance for the festivities today. There was a LOT to do, and this was one of the most fun events I’ve been to. Kudos to the Sixers and great venue host Pig Dog Beach Bar BQ for this one, cause it was a true bash. There was live music, food & drink, dancing, face-painting, plenty of blow-up beach games (giant horseshoes was my personal favorite), autograph stations, both “Air” Franklin and Coaty, and even a giant Ben Franklin. My wife Erin and I had a blast walking around in the sand and sun:


The Sixers Stixers were also in full effect & Sixers legend World B Free even predicted a title!


Zhaire Smith

Jason and other media members were able to get some exclusive time with Zhaire Smith post-autograph signing. Zhaire has been hard at work this offseason working back from injury last year, telling Jason that he looks forward to playing hard this season as he knows Philly “loves hard-working players.” Check it out, in full here:


Josh Richardson

When Josh Richardson arrived, he started with a chat with the media. He seemed excited for the season and is looking forward to the home opener against the Boston Celtics where he can “be part of the rivalry” that Sixers have had with them. He was also impressed with the Jersey shore venue, and explained his answer for fans looking to build him a fan club, in the spirit of the #MikeScottHive: #JosuélitosHooligans. Here’s the interview, in full:


On a lighter note, Josh is an awesome Twitter follow, but he took it to a new level today, in real life – he was willing to play me in rock-paper-scissors:


I’m gonna start challenging random ppl to Rock Paper Scissors matches. See how i stack up against the comp

107 people are talking about this


Josh Richardson – what a guy!

Winding Down

As Josh went to sign autographs and enjoy the rest of the beach festivities, my wife Erin, Jason, and I headed over to the famed Wildwood Boardwalk for a refreshing slice of Mack’s Pizza. As a fan and today, part-time media member, I was truly blown away by this event. The venue, the fun, the dancing, the atmosphere – it was awesome.

Big thanks to the Sixers for making basketball in August fun – here’s to celebrating a 2019-2020 title at the next Summer Shore Tour!